Inteligencia artificial y gemelos digitales en el mantenimiento predictivo industrial: cartografía de la literatura latinoamericana

Artificial intelligence and digital twins in industrial predictive maintenance: mapping the Latin American literature

Contenido principal del artículo

Autores/as

Introducción: La inteligencia artificial (IA) y los gemelos digitales representan tecnologías clave dentro de la Industria 4.0, al transformar los sistemas tradicionales de mantenimiento hacia modelos predictivos basados en análisis de datos, optimización operativa y toma de decisiones automatizada. Objetivo: Analizar la estructura de la literatura científica sobre inteligencia artificial aplicada al mantenimiento predictivo industrial, identificando vacíos de conocimiento con implicaciones prácticas para la toma de decisiones de inversión industrial en América Latina durante el periodo 2022-2026. Metodología: Se realizó una revisión de alcance siguiendo las directrices PRISMA-ScR. La búsqueda incluyó estudios provenientes de Scopus, Web of Science, IEEE Xplore, SciELO, PubMed, Google Académico y repositorios institucionales. El corpus final estuvo conformado por 47 fuentes, distribuidas en 28 publicaciones académicas (59,6 %) y 19 documentos institucionales, corporativos o periodísticos (40,4 %). Resultados: Los hallazgos evidenciaron un campo de investigación fragmentado organizado en cuatro corrientes principales: desarrollo algorítmico, aplicación de gemelos digitales, revisión y adopción tecnológica, y análisis económico-normativo. Se identificó una limitada producción científica regional y ausencia de estudios que cuantifiquen de manera directa el retorno económico de la implementación de estas tecnologías en entornos industriales. Conclusiones: La literatura actual presenta avances significativos en el desempeño técnico del mantenimiento predictivo basado en IA, pero mantiene una brecha crítica entre la precisión tecnológica y la evaluación económica de su implementación. Se requieren investigaciones que integren indicadores predictivos con resultados financieros y operativos para orientar decisiones de inversión industrial en América Latina.
Background: Artificial intelligence (AI) and digital twins are key technologies within Industry 4.0, transforming traditional maintenance systems toward predictive models based on data analytics, operational optimization, and automated decision-making. Objective: To analyze the structure of the scientific literature on artificial intelligence applied to industrial predictive maintenance, identifying knowledge gaps with practical implications for industrial investment decision-making in Latin America during the 2022–2026 period. Methodology: A scoping review was conducted following the PRISMA-ScR guidelines. The search included studies from Scopus, Web of Science, IEEE Xplore, SciELO, PubMed, Google Scholar, and institutional repositories. The final corpus comprised 47 sources, including 28 academic publications (59.6%) and 19 institutional, corporate, or journalistic documents (40.4%). Results: The findings revealed a fragmented research field organized around four main streams: algorithmic development, digital twin applications, technology review and adoption, and economic and regulatory analysis. Limited regional scientific output was identified, along with a lack of studies directly quantifying the economic return on implementing these technologies in industrial settings. Conclusions: The current literature shows significant advances in the technical performance of AI-based predictive maintenance while maintaining a critical gap between technological accuracy and the economic assessment of implementation. Further research is needed to integrate predictive indicators with financial and operational outcomes to support industrial investment decisions in Latin America.

Detalles del artículo

Cómo citar
Fernández Sánchez, D. G., Zúñiga Incalla, R. A., Barrientos-Quintanilla, K. P., & Escurra Vicésar, M. D. (2026). Inteligencia artificial y gemelos digitales en el mantenimiento predictivo industrial: cartografía de la literatura latinoamericana. Impulso, Revista De Administración, 6(15), 1-16. https://doi.org/10.59659/impulso.v.6i15.367
Sección
Artículos de Revisión

Cómo citar

Fernández Sánchez, D. G., Zúñiga Incalla, R. A., Barrientos-Quintanilla, K. P., & Escurra Vicésar, M. D. (2026). Inteligencia artificial y gemelos digitales en el mantenimiento predictivo industrial: cartografía de la literatura latinoamericana. Impulso, Revista De Administración, 6(15), 1-16. https://doi.org/10.59659/impulso.v.6i15.367

Referencias

Abd Wahab, N. H., Hasikin, K., Wee, K., Xia, K., Bei, L., Huang, K. y Wu, X. (2024). Systematic review of predictive maintenance and digital twin technologies challenges, opportunities, and best practices. PeerJ Computer Science, 10, e1943. https://doi.org/10.7717/peerj-cs.1943

Alam, N. B., Rahman, C. M. A., Harik, R., Wuest, T. y Ryu, J. (2026). Workforce competency requirements in Industry 4.0: a natural language processing analysis of job market demands. Journal of Manufacturing Technology Management. https://doi.org/10.1108/jmtm-08-2025-0767

Al-Sabaeei, A. M., Alhussian, H., Abdulkadir, S. J. y Jagadeesh, A. (2023). Prediction of oil and gas pipeline failures through machine learning approaches: A systematic review. Energy Reports, 10, 1313–1338. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egyr.2023.08.009

Alvarado, D., Moreno, R., Orchard, M. E. y Kirschen, D. S. (2023). Cost-benefit analysis of maintenance plans: case study of the power system of a large industrial facility. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 38(3), 2046–2057. https://doi.org/10.1109/tpwrs.2022.3185376

Armada, J. M., Oseda, D., Ramos, D. y Franklin, G. Y. (2026). Gemelos digitales y mantenimiento predictivo en industrias manufactureras de Huancayo. Revista Venezolana de Gerencia, 31(114), e3111421. https://doi.org/10.52080/rvgluz.31.114.21

Baio, A. A. y Carrer, M. J. (2022). Adoption of Industry 4.0 technologies: an analysis of small and medium-sized companies in the state of São Paulo, Brazil. Gestão & Produção, 29, e122. https://doi.org/10.1590/1806-9649-2022v29e122

Benmansour, O., Medarhri, I. y Hosni, M. (2026). Predictive maintenance in Industrial Systems Using Machine Learning: A Review. Statistics, Optimization & Information Computing, 15(4), 2743–2758. https://doi.org/10.19139/soic-2310-5070-3058

Bernal, I. V., Jiménez, H. L. y Alvarez, W. O. (2025). Factores que influyen en la adopción de tecnologías 4.0 en pymes manufactureras de Duitama, Boyacá. Cuadernos de Administración, 38. https://doi.org/10.11144/Javeriana.cao38.fiatpm

Bustamante-Limones, A., Rodriguez-Borges, C. y Pérez-Rodriguez, J. A. (2024). Evaluación del uso de gemelos digitales en los sistemas de producción. AiBi Revista de Investigación, Administración e Ingeniería, 12(3), 195–204. https://doi.org/10.15649/2346030X.4382

Cordeiro, R. F., Reis, L. P. y Fernandes, J. M. (2024). A study on the barriers that impact the adoption of Industry 4.0 in the context of Brazilian companies. The TQM Journal, 36(1), 361–384. https://doi.org/10.1108/tqm-07-2022-0239

Cordero, D., Altamirano, K. L., Parra, J. O. y Espinoza, W. S. (2023). Intention to Adopt Industry 4.0 by Organizations in Colombia, Ecuador, Mexico, Panama, and Peru. IEEE Access, 11, 8362–8386. https://doi.org/10.1109/ACCESS.2023.3238384

Ding, Y., Jia, M., Zhuang, J. y Ding, P. (2022). Deep imbalanced regression using cost-sensitive learning and deep feature transfer for bearing remaining useful life estimation. Applied Soft Computing, 127, 109271. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asoc.2022.109271

Elnosh, A., Calais, M. y Parlevliet, D. (2026). A systematic literature review of digital twin research for photovoltaic systems: Trends, challenges, and opportunities. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 226, 116326. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2025.116326

Felippes, B., da Silva, I., Barbalho, S., Adam, T., Heine, I. y Schmitt, R. (2022). 3D-CUBE readiness model for industry 4.0: technological, organizational, and process maturity enablers. Production & Manufacturing Research, 10(1), 875–937. https://doi.org/10.1080/21693277.2022.2135628

Fernandes, M., Corchado, J. M. y Marreiros, G. (2022). Machine learning techniques applied to mechanical fault diagnosis and fault prognosis in the context of real industrial manufacturing use-cases: a systematic literature review. Applied Intelligence, 52(12), 14246–14280. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10489-022-03344-3

Ferraro, A., Galli, A., Moscato, V. y Sperlì, G. (2023). Evaluating eXplainable artificial intelligence tools for hard disk drive predictive maintenance. Artificial Intelligence Review, 56(7), 7279–7314. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10462-022-10354-7

Ferreira, C. y Gonçalves, G. (2022). Remaining Useful Life prediction and challenges: A literature review on the use of Machine Learning Methods. Journal of Manufacturing Systems, 63, 550–562. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmsy.2022.05.010

García, E., Navarro, L. C., Torres, D. A., Pinedo, A. y Torres, L. V. (2025). Gemelos digitales para la supervisión y el mantenimiento de infraestructuras viales: Revisión sistemática. Impulso, Revista de Administración, 5(11), 161–181. https://doi.org/10.59659/impulso.v.5i11.136

García, F. P., Gonzalo, A. P. y Papaelias, M. (2026). A comprehensive review of condition monitoring systems for hydropower stations: Technologies, applications, and future trends. Electric Power Systems Research, 251, 112339. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsr.2025.112339

Gatica, F., Ramos, M., Andrés, R., Revale, H. y Fernández, V. (2024). Digital Technologies 4.0 in Small and Medium-Sized Manufacturing Industries: Cases of the Central Region of Argentina and the Biobio Region of Chile. Sage Open, 14(2), 21582440241249285. https://doi.org/10.1177/21582440241249285

Ghobakhloo, M., Iranmanesh, M., Vilkas, M., Grybauskas, A. y Amran, A. (2022). Drivers and barriers of Industry 4.0 technology adoption among manufacturing SMEs: a systematic review and transformation roadmap. Journal of Manufacturing Technology Management, 33(6), 1029–1058. https://doi.org/10.1108/jmtm-12-2021-0505

Giacotto, A., Marques, H. C. y Martinetti, A. (2025). Prescriptive maintenance: a comprehensive review of current research and future directions. Journal of Quality in Maintenance Engineering, 31(1), 129–173. https://doi.org/10.1108/jqme-07-2023-0064

Guidotti, D., Pandolfo, L. y Pulina, L. (2025). A Systematic Literature Review of Supervised Machine Learning Techniques for Predictive Maintenance in Industry 4.0. IEEE Access, 13, 102479–102504. https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2025.3578686

Gutiérrez, E. B., Sarmiento, J. E., Ramírez, J. y Rincón, Y. A. (2025). Determining factors for the digitization of micro, small, and medium-sized enterprises (MSMEs) in Ibero-America. Journal of Innovation & Knowledge, 10(1), 100631. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jik.2024.100631

Hu, D., Zhang, C., Yang, T. y Chen, G. (2022). An Intelligent Anomaly Detection Method for Rotating Machinery Based on Vibration Vectors. IEEE Sensors Journal, 22(14), 14294–14305. https://doi.org/10.1109/jsen.2022.3179740

Iheanacho, C. C., Ozurumba, E., Amajoh, N. y Igwe, E. (2025). Enhancing predictive maintenance in lean manufacturing for continuous process improvement using digital twin technology. World Journal of Advanced Research and Reviews, 26(3), 1533–1545. https://doi.org/10.30574/wjarr.2025.26.3.2307

Karna, A., Chitrakar, S., Neopane, H. P. y Dahlhaug, O. G. (2025). A review of condition monitoring in Francis turbines for predictive maintenance. Journal of Vibration and Control, 32(7-8), 1318–1338. https://doi.org/10.1177/10775463251315816

Katz, R. y Jung, J. (2026). What drives artificial intelligence adoption and use among firms? Empirical evidence from Brazilian companies. Digital Policy, Regulation and Governance, 28(5), 506–525. https://doi.org/10.1108/dprg-05-2025-0135

Kim, H., Lee, S., Lee, J., Lee, W. y Son, Y. (2024). Evaluating practical adversarial robustness of fault diagnosis systems via spectrogram-aware ensemble method. Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence, 130, 107980. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.engappai.2024.107980

Lefrouni, K. y Taibi, S. (2025). Artificial Intelligence Techniques for Industrial Predictive Maintenance: A Systematic Review of Recent Advances. Journal Européen des Systèmes Automatisés, 58(4), 653–668. https://doi.org/10.18280/jesa.580401

Leon, J. X., Tibaduiza, D. A., Parés, N. y Pozo, F. (2025). Digital twin technology in wind turbine components: A review. Intelligent Systems with Applications, 26, 200535. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iswa.2025.200535

Li, D. y Li, C. (2026). Intelligent fault detection and diagnosis algorithm of electrical equipment based on artificial intelligence model. Eksploatacja i Niezawodność – Maintenance and Reliability, 28(1). https://doi.org/10.17531/ein/210409

Li, J., Jia, Y., Niu, M., Zhu, W. y Meng, F. (2023). Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Turbofan Engines Using CNN-LSTM-SAM Approach. IEEE Sensors Journal, 23(9), 10241–10251. https://doi.org/10.1109/jsen.2023.3261874

Li, W., Shang, Z., Zhang, J., Gao, M. y Qian, S. (2023). A novel unsupervised anomaly detection method for rotating machinery based on memory augmented temporal convolutional autoencoder. Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence, 123, 106312. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.engappai.2023.106312

Loaiza, J. H. y Cloutier, R. J. (2022). Analyzing the Implementation of a Digital Twin Manufacturing System: Using a Systems Thinking Approach. Systems, 10(2), 22. https://doi.org/10.3390/systems10020022

Madrid, A., Maldonado, G. y Rodríguez, R. (2025). Unlocking resilience: the impact of Industry 4.0 technologies on manufacturing firms' response to the COVID-19 pandemic. Management Decision, 63(1), 126–154. https://doi.org/10.1108/md-02-2024-0262

Meddaoui, A., Hain, M. y Hachmoud, A. (2023). The benefits of predictive maintenance in manufacturing excellence: a case study to establish reliable methods for predicting failures. The International Journal of Advanced Manufacturing Technology, 128(7-8), 3685–3690. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00170-023-12086-6

Mendoza, J. J., Jácome, M. A., Villarruel, P. A. y Eras, D. C. (2025). Mantenimiento predictivo con inteligencia artificial en equipos electromecánicos para minimizar riesgos ambientales. Revista Científica Arbitrada Multidisciplinaria PENTACIENCIAS, 7(5), 482–493. https://doi.org/10.59169/pentaciencias.v7i5.1683

Meng, H., Liu, X., Xing, J. y Zio, E. (2022). A method for economic evaluation of predictive maintenance technologies by integrating system dynamics and evolutionary game modelling. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 222, 108424. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2022.108424

Muñoz, D. S., Valencia, K. T., Caviativa, Y. P. y Castillo, J. S. (2024). Estado actual de la adopción de la industria 4.0 en pymes colombianas: desafíos y oportunidades. Revista Politécnica, 20(39), 99–118. https://doi.org/10.33571/rpolitec.v20n39a7

Nunes, P., Santos, J. y Rocha, E. (2023). Challenges in predictive maintenance – A review. CIRP Journal of Manufacturing Science and Technology, 40, 53–67. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cirpj.2022.11.004

Paitan, N., Velveder, B., Sanchez, Y. y Ramos, S. (2025). Artificial Intelligence and Big Data Strategies for Predictive Maintenance in Industry 4.0: A Systematic Review from 2019 to 2024. International Journal of Engineering Trends and Technology, 73(6), 173-182. https://doi.org/10.14445/22315381/IJETT-V73I6P115

Peters, M. D., Godfrey, C., McInerney, P., Khalil, H., Larsen, P., Marnie, C., Pollock, D., Tricco, A. C. y Munn, Z. (2022). Best practice guidance and reporting items for the development of scoping review protocols. JBI Evidence Synthesis, 20(4), 953–968. https://doi.org/10.11124/JBIES-21-00242

Pollock, D., Peters, M. D., Khalil, H., McInerney, P., Alexander, L., Tricco, A. C., Evans, C., de Moraes, É. B., Godfrey, C. M., Pieper, D., Saran, A., Stern, C. y Munn, Z. (2023). Recommendations for the extraction, analysis, and presentation of results in scoping reviews. JBI Evidence Synthesis, 21(3), 520–532. https://doi.org/10.11124/JBIES-22-00123

Quiroga, D. J., Hernández, B. E., Mendoza, L., Valencia, H. y Alpala, L. O. (2026). Industry 4.0 Adoption in Large Manufacturing Companies: The Readiness–Adoption Gap in an Emerging Economy. Systems, 14(7), 799. https://doi.org/10.3390/systems14070799

Shen, Y., Tang, B., Li, B., Tan, Q. y Wu, Y. (2022). Remaining useful life prediction of rolling bearing based on multi-head attention embedded Bi-LSTM network. Measurement, 202, 111803. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.measurement.2022.111803

Singh, V., Gangsar, P., Porwal, R. y Atulkar, A. (2023). Artificial intelligence application in fault diagnostics of rotating industrial machines: a state-of-the-art review. Journal of Intelligent Manufacturing, 34(3), 931–960. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10845-021-01861-5

Siraskar, R., Kumar, S., Patil, S., Bongale, A. y Kotecha, K. (2023). Reinforcement learning for predictive maintenance: a systematic technical review. Artificial Intelligence Review, 56(11), 12885–12947. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10462-023-10468-6

Sonntag, M., Mehmann, S., Mehmann, J. y Teuteberg, F. (2025). Development and Evaluation of a Maturity Model for AI Deployment Capability of Manufacturing Companies. Information Systems Management, 42(1), 37–67. https://doi.org/10.1080/10580530.2024.2319041

Thelen, A., Zhang, X., Fink, O., Lu, Y., Ghosh, S., Youn, B. D., Todd, M. D., Mahadevan, S., Hu, C. y Hu, Z. (2022). A comprehensive review of digital twin — part 1: modeling and twinning enabling technologies. Structural and Multidisciplinary Optimization, 65(12), 354. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00158-022-03425-4

van Dinter, R., Tekinerdogan, B. y Catal, C. (2022). Predictive maintenance using digital twins: A systematic literature review. Information and Software Technology, 151, 107008. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.infsof.2022.107008

Waseem, M. y Chang, Q. (2026). Adaptive-fidelity digital twin framework for complex smart manufacturing system. Journal of Manufacturing Systems, 88, 967–985. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmsy.2026.07.016

Wei, Y., Hu, T., Wang, Y., Wei, S. y Luo, W. (2022). Implementation strategy of physical entity for manufacturing system digital twin. Robotics and Computer-Integrated Manufacturing, 73, 102259. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rcim.2021.102259

Yli, P. y Helo, P. (2026). Industry 4.0 technologies adoption and obstacles in manufacturing SMEs – challenges for strategy and organisational learning. Journal of Workplace Learning, 38(9), 69–86. https://doi.org/10.1108/jwl-05-2025-0150

Yu, H., Yu, D., Wang, C., Hu, Y. y Li, Y. (2023). Edge intelligence-driven digital twin of CNC system: Architecture and deployment. Robotics and Computer-Integrated Manufacturing, 79, 102418. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rcim.2022.102418

Zahediyami, M., Delos, V., Gorecki, S. y Traoré, M. K. (2026). Agile framework for Digital Twin verification and validation: Addressing complexity challenges in cross-disciplinary hybrid systems. SIMULATION. https://doi.org/10.1177/00375497261464072

Zhong, D., Xia, Z., Zhu, Y. y Duan, J. (2023). Overview of predictive maintenance based on digital twin technology. Heliyon, 9(4), e14534. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e14534

Zhou, Y., Zhou, J., Cui, Q., Wen, J. y Fei, X. (2024). Digital twin‐driven online intelligent assessment of wind turbine gearbox. Wind Energy, 27(8), 797–815. https://doi.org/10.1002/we.2912

Zhu, Z., Lei, Y., Qi, G., Chai, Y., Mazur, N., An, Y. y Huang, X. (2023). A review of the application of deep learning in intelligent fault diagnosis of rotating machinery. Measurement, 206, 112346. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.measurement.2022.112346